Mark Collins – Back to Libya’s Shifting Sands: Western Action vs ISIS?

A lot of signals are being sent these days:

France In Talks With Allies To Form Military Action Plan For Libya In 2016: Report

U.S. Africa Command Campaign Plan Targets Terror Groups
[Libya “second line of effort”]

Report: Germany Mulls Sending 100 Troops to Train Libyan Army

Italy Sends four AMX fighters to Sicily over concerns with the situation in Libya

German defense minister raises prospect of Libya mission

In Libya, U.S. Courts Unreliable Allies to Counter ISIS

Anti-ISIS meeting of ministers on Feb. 2 in Rome – [Italian foreign minister] Gentiloni
To discuss situation in Syria, Libya and Iraq [any Canadian minister going?]

Background:

Islamic State’s Libyan ‘province’ launches new offensive

Islamic State offensive raises risk for Libya’s oil sector

Should military action take place on assumes POTUS will lead from behind again with enablers  (e.g. ISR, aerial refueling).  One feels distinctly nervous–and wonders to what extent Canada has been party to discussions.

Mark Collins, a prolific Ottawa blogger, is a Fellow at the Canadian Global Affairs Institute; he tweets @Mark3Ds

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11 thoughts on “Mark Collins – Back to Libya’s Shifting Sands: Western Action vs ISIS?”

  1. And I assume this is all being done based on a UNSC resolution? Of course not. Once again NATO just decides it has the right to go kill people any where for any reason. What is the international law to support these actions? Who voted us god?

    Lets be honest NATO completely F’d this up the last time they went into Libya all guns blazing. Why should we trust NATO to get it right this time? There are many good reasons to get a UNSC resolution.

    Russia and China aren’t going to allow a resolution to pass that is based entirely on how to win back the 4th district in Idaho in 2016.

    China had said that they were willing to send troops to Syria if there was a UNSC resolution to support it. One never came. There was the resolution to degrade Daesh after the Paris attack but that wasn’t the same thing as a chapter 7 resolution. With a proper resolution there is the chance of getting more parties on side.

    Both Daesh & AQ have gone malignant and are spreading. This needs to be a world effort or we are never going to stop the terrorist scourge. A chapter 7 resolution would give the UN the power to turn the screws on those financing terrorism. The GCC states can pump money into these terror groups faster than the west can fight them. There are real signs that both destroying the oil trade and attacking the money supply in Iraq have had a real effect on Daesh at least. That is why they are so desperate for the oil in Libya. A chapter 7 resolution would mean that NATO could no longer protect the GCC from responsibility for their actions.

  2. And note this:

    “…
    Now, though, Misrata’s leaders say there is now no option but to mount a renewed assault, possibly with Western help, though any foreign mission would depend on the Libyan government issuing a formal request. Britain has said that it will offer up to 1,000 troops as part of a 6,000-strong training mission led by Italy. The mission would not see the troops involved in combat.”
    http://news.nationalpost.com/news/isil-sends-enforcer-to-gaddafis-home-city-to-prepare-possible-escape-for-isil-leaders-in-syria-and-iraq

    Mark Collins

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