Quelle sinking feeling surprise! Here are the current best guesses (hah!) of our government–FY 2015-16’s are here. Delivery of the one Offshore Oceanographic Science Vessel had been scheduled for 2017-18; now it’s just a “Tentative Delivery” in 2018-19. That “tentative” almost certainly means “later” as a result of delays with the preceding fisheries science vessels (see just below). Note that the $144.4 million costing does not reflect the realities pointed out at this February post:
The shipyard, Seaspan Vancouver, is building three Offshore Fisheries Science Vessels first. These are included in the FY 2015-16 project listing but have for some mysterious reason vanished from the 2016-17 listing. Uncertainty about costs and delivery dates smells likely to me. The three ships were supposed to cost a (ridiculous) $594 million with this schedule: “First two vessels to be delivered: 2016-17 [-] Delivery of final Offshore Fisheries Science Vessel: 2016-17…The final vessel is expected to be delivered in 2017-18 [CONFUSED?]”. But then see this post from June 2015,
in which the government admits the cost will be (at least) $687 million, “with delivery of the first vessel scheduled for Spring 2017, the second vessel to be delivered 5 months later, and the third 3 months after that…” So the first two vessels will not be in 2016 and final one should be early 2018. Mesdames et messieurs, faites vos jeux. Keep this in mind: “Preliminary Project Approval: October 2005″. SO ALMOST 13 YEARS TO BUILD THREE SHIPS.
Then there is the Polar Icebreaker. Cost stays at $1.3 billion (bonne chance given the examples of the other vessels Seaspan is building) with delivery slipping from 2021-22 to 2022-23. This ship will follow after the two–no talk about three any more–RCN Joint Support Ships that are supposed start building once a contract is awarded to Seaspan in the fall of 2017. Bets on how that schedule goes?
And now for something completely different and confusing!